In the middle of one of the biggest betting weekends of the year in horse racing, I still find some time to make college football upset picks. Of course, with the first CFP Poll out and season altering games such as Alabama-LSU, Notre Dame-Northwestern, Georgia-Kentucky, and Michigan-Penn State, this is a weekend to sit down and just enjoy all the action. Here are my five upsets of the Saturday card:
Season: 12-13 (8 Outright)
- AIR FORCE (+6.5) at Army
- The Commander-In-Chief Trophy is on the line when these two military academies face off. Air Force has already beaten Navy and a win over Army would see the Trophy come back west. Air Force has the points scoring offense to match up with Army very well and this should be anything but a blow out either way. A close game that might be decided by just a point.
- IOWA (+3.0) at Purdue
- The Boilermakers are still riding high off of their win against Ohio State, at least in the eyes of Vegas. They didn’t look too great against Michigan State last week (but good enough to keep it close) but now face an Iowa team that wants revenge after last week’s loss in Happy Valley. Watch out for the Hawkeyes.
- PENN STATE (+12.0) at Michigan
- 12 points is a huge line to give an in-conference rival. Especially one that hasn’t lost by double digits in two years (though that game was against Michigan, and in the Big House). I’m under the belief that Penn State’s offense will find ways to score and keep them in this game, one that could easily become a shootout.
- COASTAL CAROLINA (+14.0) v Appalachian State
- Last week, App State saw their quarterback Zak Thomas go down with an injury. He has since been day-to-day and mainly sitting out of reps instead of practicing. While I do think they still will win, the Chanticleers have been rolling strong and should put up a test to the bruised Mountaineers, keeping this game close on the surf turf.
- TEXAS TECH (+13.5) v Oklahoma
- It has been just a bit over two years since Baker Mayfield and Patrick Mahomes dueled out in an absolute offensive onslaught in Lubbock. Now the teams meet again under the lights at Jones AT&T Stadium. The Red Raiders have been playing with a much better defense than previous years and have been scoring at will against many good teams; meanwhile Oklahoma has been on a tear since their loss in the Red River Shootout. This could be another memorable classic, and one that should be decided by whoever has the ball last.
(All spreads from ESPN)