The World Championships of Horse Racing are among us once again – the Breeders’ Cup! With a stacked Future Stars Friday card on the docket, Friday is an exceptional day of racing for any fan. No race is a true give-me with Juvenile races having diverse and challenging fields that are sure to cause the best horses to rise to the occasion.
Race 5 – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (Grade I) | 5 Furlongs | Turf | Two-Year-Olds | $1,000,000
(2) No Nay Mets | (9) Starlust | (11) Slider
Speed will be the name of the game for these two-year-olds in the Juvenile Turf Sprint. No Nay Mets has by far the best speed in this field, has drawn near the inside, and is fresh coming into this spot. Irad should be able to easily navigate this field from the front and pull away near the end to take the opening Championship race. I’d add Starlust and Slider underneath at prices; Starlust will definitely move up on this firmer turf while Slider is very comfortable on this course and should be running near the front in the end.
Race 6 – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (Grade I) | 1 1/16 Miles | Dirt | Two-Year-Old Fillies | $2,000,000
(7) Tamara | (1) Candied | (2) Jody’s Pride
Is Tamara much the best in this field? Absolutely. If she runs her race, she crushes this field, but if she doesn’t repeat her effort in the Del Mar Debutante, the Alcibiades winner Candied isn’t going to be too far behind her. Candied has been impressive in both her starts and is showing great turn of foot for being so young. Both ridden by elite jockeys that will be putting their mounts in the best position. But if not them, watch out for a young two-year-old by American Pharoah out of a Scat Daddy mare; Jody’s Pride may have been sprinting against fields that really wanted to be on turf, but she has taken both races in great stride and was ultra impressive drawing away in the Matron last out at Aqueduct. While this will be a step up for her, and a much longer distance, her pedigree suggests she gets the distance and at 15/1, it is hard to avoid a horse that should definitely be at a shorter price.
Race 7 – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (Grade I) | 1 Mile | Turf | Two-Year-Old Fillies | $1,000,000
(8) Life’s An Audible | (5) Content | (7) Gala Brand | (10) Austere
This is by far the toughest race of the day to handicap. The Euros look good here, but the obvious stand-outs have too many questions about distance to put a lot of eggs in their basket. Instead, I go with a longshot coming in from NY, Life’s An Audible, who was charging hard last time out against an incredible slow pace. She won’t get that here and should get the quick pace she was hoping to have – that will work well for her turn of foot and help her do just one better this time. Underneath, I’ll take the mount of Ryan Moore, Content, who had a flying win last out in the Staffordstown Stud and should easily make the distance – she has been getting better as the races get longer and should be a contender. I’ll also use a second runner out of the Ms Grillo, Gala Brand, who was impressive in the With Anticipation and looks to get a trip that won’t have her in the middle of the track. I also can’t leave this race without looking at Austere, who could end up being the best of this bunch a year from now; I think she is just a bit green still, but watching her win at Kentucky Downs is all you need to know she is a future star.
Race 8 – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (Grade I) | 1 1/16 Mile | Dirt | Two-Year-Old Colts & Geldings | $2,000,000
(8) General Partner | (4) Timberlake | (10) Muth
The Champagne Stakes one-two look to be coming into form well. Timberlake put his best performance on the track in the Champagne last out, but General Partner may be the better one here; looked like the slop just hampered his ability to finish, but that won’t be the problem here. Both of these are much the best in the field. Muth has a lot of talent and sure to at least test anyone down the stretch.
Race 9 – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf (Grade I) | 1 Mile | Turf | Two Year Old Colts & Geldings | $1,000,000
(8) Unquestionable | (14) Carson’s Run | (2) River Tiber
Aidan O’Brien does look to be the one to come away with another Juvenile Turf this year, with a very tough to stop Unquestionable. He should easily hit the money and looks to tower over this field. While he does have a few blemishes on his record, he has been racing against the top and continues to impress. Meanwhile, Carson’s Run comes out of a tough Summer Stakes at Woodbine that he won in funky fashion – a more straightforward trip will bode well for him (also watch if Gala Brand wins the Juvenile Fillies Turf earlier in the day; he finished behind her in the With Anticipation). I’ll throw the other talented Aidan O’Brien into the card, with River Tiber shipping well and sure to be a threat.
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