Tag Archives: Air Force

College Football 2018 Week 10 Bets

In the middle of one of the biggest betting weekends of the year in horse racing, I still find some time to make college football upset picks.  Of course, with the first CFP Poll out and season altering games such as Alabama-LSU, Notre Dame-Northwestern, Georgia-Kentucky, and Michigan-Penn State, this is a weekend to sit down and just enjoy all the action.  Here are my five upsets of the Saturday card:

Season: 12-13 (8 Outright)

  • AIR FORCE (+6.5) at Army
    • The Commander-In-Chief Trophy is on the line when these two military academies face off.  Air Force has already beaten Navy and a win over Army would see the Trophy come back west.  Air Force has the points scoring offense to match up with Army very well and this should be anything but a blow out either way.  A close game that might be decided by just a point.
  • IOWA (+3.0) at Purdue
    • The Boilermakers are still riding high off of their win against Ohio State, at least in the eyes of Vegas.  They didn’t look too great against Michigan State last week (but good enough to keep it close) but now face an Iowa team that wants revenge after last week’s loss in Happy Valley.  Watch out for the Hawkeyes.
  • PENN STATE (+12.0) at Michigan
    • 12 points is a huge line to give an in-conference rival.  Especially one that hasn’t lost by double digits in two years (though that game was against Michigan, and in the Big House).  I’m under the belief that Penn State’s offense will find ways to score and keep them in this game, one that could easily become a shootout.
  • COASTAL CAROLINA (+14.0) v Appalachian State
    • Last week, App State saw their quarterback Zak Thomas go down with an injury.  He has since been day-to-day and mainly sitting out of reps instead of practicing.  While I do think they still will win, the Chanticleers have been rolling strong and should put up a test to the bruised Mountaineers, keeping this game close on the surf turf.
  • TEXAS TECH (+13.5) v Oklahoma
    • It has been just a bit over two years since Baker Mayfield and Patrick Mahomes dueled out in an absolute offensive onslaught in Lubbock.  Now the teams meet again under the lights at Jones AT&T Stadium.  The Red Raiders have been playing with a much better defense than previous years and have been scoring at will against many good teams; meanwhile Oklahoma has been on a tear since their loss in the Red River Shootout.  This could be another memorable classic, and one that should be decided by whoever has the ball last.

(All spreads from ESPN)

College Football 2018 Week 6 Bets

Moving on to Week 6 offers us a lot of value with games, even with some big games like the Red River Showdown and Notre Dame heading to Blacksburg to take on Virginia Tech.  Here are my 5 underdog points plays you should keep your eye on:

Season: 4-1 (3 Outright)

  • MARYLAND (+17.5) at Michigan
    • Going to the Big House isn’t the easiest task, but this year has seen Michigan going backwards at times while the Terps have been rising.  Michigan struggled against the two toughest teams that they’ve faced, Notre Dame and Northwestern, and Shea Patterson has yet to look like the QB to lead this Wolverines team.  They should win, but a more than two touchdowns and a field goal points spread is too much to pass up.
  • EAST CAROLINA (+10.5) at Temple
    • Hard to knock ECU with their two losses – one by a lightning delayed to the next day game to NC A&T and the other to USF during Hurricane Florence.  Otherwise, they could have easily been 4-0 entering this matchup at Temple.  Temple caught a Maryland team off guard and rolled a weak Tulsa team, but didn’t get the job done with Villanova and Buffalo – even if they win this week, they are facing a much better ECU and hard to see them winning by much.
  • AIR FORCE (+3.0) v Navy
    • It hasn’t been easy for Air Force this year, with tough road losses to FAU and Utah State, and then a stunning home loss to Nevada.  But when Navy comes to town, it is a new team in Colorado.  Navy has yet to win a game by more than a point, with two losses to teams west of the Mississippi this year.  Travelling isn’t something that the Midshipman do well and that may come to bite them against their rival.
  • BOWLING GREEN (+21.0) at Toledo
    • Heading to the Glass Bowl for this one.  Bowling Green has losses at Oregon, against a rolling Maryland, and at Georgia Tech – all teams with very good defenses.  Toledo… not so much.  Although Toledo has been hot, they have been allowing 450+ yards per game (mostly through the air) – not that Bowling Green is much better with 500+ (but mostly on the ground; Toledo is a passing team).  This will be a shootdown in the MAC – nowhere near a runaway win like the line says.
  • SOUTH ALABAMA (+11.0) at Georgia Southern
    • South Alabama has had it rough, with games at Oklahoma State, at Memphis, and at Appalachian State.  Now they go on the road to a Georgia Southern team that tries to out run you rather than outscore you like the other teams they’ve faced.  Georgia Southern isn’t going to be pulling away from the Jaguars, leaving this game much closer than the line says.

(all lines from Draft Kings at the time of writing)

College Football 2018 Week 5 Bets

With all of the country’s focus on the two top ten matchups that we have under the lights this weekend with Penn State – Ohio State and Notre Dame – Stanford, we cannot forget about what is a very juicy undercard as we head into conference play.

Each week I will post my 5 underdog points plays that you should keep your eye on.

  • ARMY (+7.5) at Buffalo
    • The Bulls come home to UB Stadium 4-0, after a trouncing of Rutgers.  But this is their first test of the year, and get an Army squad that travels well.  Buffalo won by just 7 points against the two best teams it faced, Eastern Michigan and Temple – neither stack up to what this Army team has been doing lately.  Should be tight.
  • NEVADA (+5) v Air Force
    • The last three games in this Mountain West cross-divisional series have been decided by one possession.  The Wolf Pack are 2-2 thus far, losing two early kickoffs out east.  They get to travel close to an Air Force team that has just one win, and that was to FCS Stony Brook.  I find this to be a very odd line for this game, even with Nevada’s blunders on the road.
  • GEORGIA SOUTHERN (+3.5) v Arkansas State
    • The Eagles took care of business at home their first two weeks before going to Clemson.  Now they are back home at Paulson Stadium against an Arkansas State team that has been squeaking out wins in their last two.  It isn’t easy winning at Georgia Southern and this could easily be a one point game in the end.
  • SAN JOSE STATE (+11) v Hawaii
    • Facing a 4-1 Rainbow Warriors team is a challenge, but they play noticeably worse on the road.  SJ State is still looking for their first win, but I can give them a pass when their last two games came on the road at Washington State and Oregon.  This is a very generous line here.
  • BYU (+17.5) at Washington
    • One of the sneaky ranked v ranked games of this week, BYU has been play strong fundamental football thus far.  Going into Camp Randall a few weeks ago and knocking off Wisconsin was just a taste of what it looks like BYU has in store for the rest of the season.  Now they get to head up to Seattle to face off with a Washington squad that hasn’t quite looked themselves as of late, and might be looking past this game to the big Pac-12 slate that they have coming up.

(all lines from Draft Kings at the time of writing)